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Causal Impact Analysis

Measure the true effectiveness of your marketing strategies.

Growth
Starting at $3,000
Timeline: ~2 Weeks

This service helps you move beyond assumptions and guesswork by replacing them with evidence, ensuring your marketing decisions are rooted in measurable results, not intuition.

Key Features and Benefits:

  • Accurate ROI Measurement: Determine the actual return on investment (ROI) of a recent marketing campaign by isolating its effect from other factors.
  • True Impact Isolation: Models account for various factors over time, allowing you to understand what would have happened if a particular campaign had not been implemented.
  • Strategic Decision Support: Gain data-driven insights to support strategic adjustments. Use this analysis to optimize marketing campaigns, improve conversion rates, and inform future efforts by identifying which initiatives had a true impact.
  • Relationship Identification: The analysis identifies relationships between a test group and comparable "control" groups (e.g., Campaign A consistently drives 50% as many conversions as Campaign B).
  • Performance Prediction: Uses established relationships to plot expected performance post-intervention or test start date, creating a synthetic baseline for comparison.

Key Outputs:

  1. Visual Graphs:
    • Original: Plots the observed outcome against the synthetic baseline created by the control groups.
    • Pointwise: Plots the difference between the observed outcome and the predicted outcome over time.
  2. Summary of Impact:
    • Actual vs. Predicted: Shows the average daily and cumulative actual values compared to what the model predicted in the post-period.
    • Absolute Effect: Displays the average daily and cumulative difference between the actual values and the predicted values in the post-period, quantifying the intervention's true impact.